Agenda
(Updated 11/15/10)
November 18 — Presentations: “Current methods and recent developments in modeling techniques for advancing escapement goal estimation”
9:30 Refreshments
10:00 Opening Remarks and Introductions
10:15 Keynote speakers
Jack Williams – Why new approaches are needed for salmon escapement
Kit Rawson – A manager’s view of the needs for improved escapement goal science
Eric Knudsen – Emerging science for estimating salmonid habitat capacity
11:00 Invited technical talks
Ray Beamesderfer — Problems and solutions in escapement goal management of upper Cook Inlet salmon fisheries
Mark Chilcote — The escapement goal/recruitment modeling knot versus an alternative: the Red Queen paradigm
Greg Blair – Simulating Salmon life history diversity and population performance using the Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment Model
12:15 Catered lunch
1:15 Contributed Talks
Steve Cramer — A Habitat And Life-History Based Approach To Estimating Basin Carrying Capacity For Chinook Salmon
Jody Lando – Using Landscape-Based Modeling to Predict Salmonid Habitat Capacity and Productivity Potential at the Watershed Scale
Noble Hendrix — Winter OBAN (Oncorhynchus Bayesian Analysis), a Statistical Life-Cycle Model for Winter-Run Chinook
Dan Rawding — An Approach for Developing Biological Reference Points for Steelhead Populations in the Lower Columbia Region
Mark Meleason — Estimating Coho Habitat Capacity Using GIS-based Variables
2:45 Break
3:15 Contributed Talks
Rishi Sharma – Using accessible watershed size to predict management parameters for Chinook salmon, Oncorhynchus tshawytscha, populations with little or no spawner-recruit data: a Bayesian hierarchical modelling approach
Larry Lestelle — The importance of diagnosing relationships between salmon life histories and habitat characteristics in escapement management: example from the Skokomish River
Martin Liermann — Essential ecological considerations for managing salmon populations
Jay Hesse — Historical Accounts: Outliers or Anchor Points?
4:45 Jack Williams — Open Discussion: “What are the important features of current research related to escapement goals” (Techniques, assumptions, unknowns, limitations)
6:30 Evening Group Reservation at Local Restaurant (No Host)
November 19 — Facilitated Discussion: “What is the most promising course for further development of capacity- and life-history-based escapement goal estimation?”
8:00 Continental Breakfast
8:30 Introduction of Facilitator and Outline of Process
8:45 Overview and recap of yesterday, including summary of all relevant techniques
9:15 Identification and discussion of current gaps in escapement goal modeling and how to fill them
9:45 Identification and discussion of current modeling strategies that hold the most promise
10:30 Break
10:45 Future modeling – How best to coordinate ongoing and new modeling to develop a new escapement estimation approach
12:00 Catered lunch
12:45 Future modeling – Continued
1:15 Research needs for future modeling
1:45 Wrap-up and summary
2:30 Depart